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Gaming rebound helps keep Macau’s 2Q26 economic outlook ‘stable’: think tank

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Macau’s economic outlook for the second quarter of 2026 is expected to remain stable, supported by the continued recovery of the gaming sector and strong tourism activity, according to a monthly assessment released by the Macau Economic Association.

The association said Macau’s economic climate indicators for the first two months of the year remained within the ‘stable’ range and are expected to stay broadly steady into the second quarter, despite ongoing external uncertainties.

The outlook is supported by the sustained rebound in the gaming sector. Gross gaming revenue reached MOP22.63 billion ($2.8 billion) in January and MOP20.63 billion ($2.6 billion) in February, a combined year-on-year increase of 13.9 percent. Average daily gaming revenue during the two months ranked as the second- and third-highest monthly averages recorded since the pandemic.

Market expectations are for March’s gross gaming revenue to reach between MOP21 billion ($2.6 billion) and MOP21.5 billion ($2.7 billion).

Tourism-related indicators have also remained strong. Visitor arrivals and hotel occupancy rates have entered what the association described as an ‘overheating’ range, while labor market conditions remain stable, with total employment and unemployment at favorable levels.

At the macro level, liquidity conditions remain ample. Macau’s broad money supply (M2) increased 9.3 percent year-on-year to MOP859.15 billion ($106.8 billion), reaching a new record high. The value of imported goods also entered an ‘overheating’ range for the first time in nearly two years, indicating a pickup in economic activity.

However, the association noted that indicators linked to domestic demand and market confidence remain relatively weak. Housing prices and the share prices of Macau’s six gaming operators continue to hover near recent lows, suggesting a slower recovery in asset markets and consumer sentiment.

The report also warned that external factors, including geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and potential increases in energy prices, could raise living costs and weigh on consumption in the months ahead.

Macau gaming regulator reports 22 investigations into casino operator violations

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Macau’s gaming regulator has opened 22 administrative infraction cases against casino operators since the city’s revised gaming law came into force in 2022.

The figures are according to a written reply from the Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau (DICJ) to legislator José Maria Pereira Coutinho. In response to the legislative inquiry, the regulator said the cases were launched to investigate suspected violations by concessionaires under the updated legal framework governing casino gaming operations.

Of the 22 cases, five resulted in penalties, 10 were closed due to insufficient evidence, and seven remain under investigation, the bureau stated. However, the DICJ did not disclose the types of violations involved or the total amount of fines imposed.

The figures were disclosed after Legislator Coutinho asked the government to clarify how the administrative penalty system introduced under the revised gaming law has been implemented and whether enforcement mechanisms are being effectively applied.

Macau amended its gaming legislation in 2022, introducing a clearer administrative sanctions regime for casino concessionaires. The system allows authorities to impose fines of up to MOP5 million ($620,000) and additional penalties such as the temporary closure of gaming areas in cases of serious violations.

According to the DICJ, the regulatory framework requires concessionaires and other industry participants—including management companies, gaming promoters, shareholders, directors, and key employees—to undergo strict suitability checks and comply with reporting obligations when signs of criminal activity or legal violations arise.

‘The law clearly requires industry participants to notify the bureau when there are indications of crimes or conduct that violates gaming-related legislation,’ the regulator said in the reply.

The regulator also emphasized that concessionaires and management companies must undergo continuous audits by independent external entities approved by both the DICJ and the Financial Services Bureau. These auditors are required to report any findings that could seriously harm the interests of concessionaires or the Macau SAR, including potential criminal activities or money laundering.

In addition to external audits, the DICJ said it conducts real-time monitoring of casino operations, gaming activities, and compliance with gaming laws, as well as financial audits and compliance reviews of concessionaires.

Authorities said the regulator will continue working with other government bodies, including the Monetary Authority of Macau and the Financial Intelligence Office, to strengthen oversight and prevent illegal activities linked to the gaming sector.

Evoplay concludes its record‑breaking Big Adventures campaign with a spectacular Maldives grand prize

Evoplay has officially wrapped up its largest-ever network campaign, unveiling the grand prize winner of its Big Adventures promotion during a live draw on March 12th.

Running for nine months from June 2025 to February 2026, the Big Adventures campaign delivered one of the studio’s most ambitious engagement campaigns to date, featuring a €2.5 million total prize pool, more than 115,000 random prizes, and 180 days of player entertainment across participating operator platforms.

Throughout the campaign, players competed across a series of tournament phases while unlocking additional rewards through interactive mechanics including Prize Drops and Wheel of Fortune events.

While thousands of prizes were distributed during the nine-month campaign, the final highlight came with the reveal of the Grand Mega Prize; a VIP trip to the Maldives for two. The luxury experience includes flights, premium accommodation and a fully curated island getaway organised by Evoplay.

The winner was selected via a live random draw among the Top 100 players on the campaign’s final leaderboard, recognising those who performed best across the tournament phases throughout the promotion.

Big Adventures also introduced additional long-term incentives for dedicated players through quarterly giveaways, with top-performing participants rewarded with the latest iPhone Pro Max across the campaign’s phases.

Beyond player engagement, the campaign was designed to deliver strong results for operators through built-in gamification tools, including leaderboard APIs, promotional assets and integrated campaign widgets that enabled seamless promotion across platforms.

Following the success of Big Adventures, Evoplay has already launched another large-scale campaign Four Seasons of Legends, starting with the Spring edition, and offering operators a new opportunity to participate in a network-wide promotion built to drive player engagement and retention.

Diana Larina, Head of Marketing at Evoplay, said: “Big Adventures has been a landmark campaign for Evoplay and our operator partners. Over the past nine months, we’ve seen incredible engagement from players around the world, with thousands of prizes won and strong participation across every phase of the campaign.”

“The live finale was the perfect way to close the campaign and celebrate the community that took part and we’re already looking ahead to the next major campaign, which will give operators even more opportunities to engage their players.”

PopOK Gaming launches 2 new slot games, Genie Fortune and Rico Rhino

PopOK Gaming has released two new slot games, Genie Fortune and Rico Rhino, both featuring multiplier-driven gameplay and the potential for rewarding spins.

Genie Fortune

Genie Fortune brings players into a mystical world where magical multipliers can boost wins on every spin. Multipliers outside the reels can appear randomly and increase the value of any winning combination, creating the chance for bigger rewards.

The game offers a top win potential of more than 1500x the original bet. Players can also trigger a Free Spins feature that awards 8 Free Spins, where multiple multipliers can appear on the same spin to increase the total win.

Genie Fortune also includes a Sure Win Stake option. When activated, the stake increases by 5x and guarantees a win on every base game spin, giving players a different way to experience the game.

With its magical theme and multiplier features, Genie Fortune offers an engaging slot experience where each spin can deliver unexpected results.

Rico Rhino

Rico Rhino joins the Rico series with a gameplay style focused on powerful multipliers. During the game, multipliers can randomly appear to boost the value of winning spins.

The Free Spins feature awards 8 Free Spins, and during this round multipliers can become even stronger, reaching up to 30x, giving players the chance for significantly larger payouts.

With its simple structure and strong multiplier mechanics, Rico Rhino offers an easy-to-follow slot experience where ordinary spins can turn into bigger wins.

PopOK Gaming doubles the excitement with the launch of two new slots, Genie Fortune and Rico Rhino, bringing players magical multipliers, free spins, and distinct gameplay experiences in a single release.

Endeavour says frontline pub staff face growing AML and gaming harm burden

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Speaking at the Regulating the Game 2026 conference in Sydney, Rule told delegates that while the industry’s understanding of anti-money laundering (AML) obligations has matured significantly over the past decade, practical enforcement inside gaming venues remains difficult, particularly in environments staffed largely by young hospitality workers.

“Early days when we came to this conference, AML was a new concept for this industry,” Rule said. “Today most people in this room understand it very well. But the real challenge is how you apply those obligations in busy pubs and clubs with frontline staff who are often quite young.”

Endeavour Group operates Australia’s largest hotel network, with around 350 pubs across the country, alongside the Dan Murphy’s and BWS retail liquor chains. The hotels division alone employs roughly 10,000 staff, many of them casual workers, highlighting what Rule described as the scale of training and compliance responsibilities faced by operators.

Rule illustrated the evolution of the industry’s compliance culture with a personal anecdote from early in his career working behind the bar in a regional New South Wales pub. At the time, he said, neither AML nor safer gambling concepts were part of day-to-day operations. Yet looking back, he now recognizes behaviors that would today raise serious red flags.

“When I was doing the cash clearances on the gaming machines at the end of the night, you’d see stacks of notes all facing the same direction – $50s, $100s – sometimes sticky,” he recalled. “At the time I just thought these guys had a lot of money.” Those patrons, he said, included members of a bikie (motorcycle) gang operating in the area. “Fast forward 20 years and what I know today would have changed the way I looked at what was happening in that gaming room.”

endeavour group australia

Training against money laundering tactics

One of the most significant operational challenges facing pub operators is the need to constantly train a transient workforce. Rule noted that traditional compliance training modules lasting 30 to 60 minutes often fail to engage staff who are juggling busy shifts and customer service duties. Instead, Endeavour has begun experimenting with short video training modules delivered through mobile workforce platforms. The clips, typically one to two minutes long, explain specific AML or safer-gaming risks in simple visual terms.

One example used in the presentation showed “bill stuffing,” a common money-laundering typology in gaming venues where a player inserts cash into a machine with little or no play before cashing out a ticket or check to give the funds a legitimate appearance. “When we launched these videos, we saw an immediate uplift in awareness and reporting,” Rule said, referring to increases in unusual activity reports submitted by venue staff.

Another emerging concern is the growing availability of high-quality fake identification. Rule demonstrated how easily such documents can be obtained online, noting that some websites openly advertise counterfeit IDs that can pass certain electronic verification systems. “This isn’t hidden on the dark web,” he said. “You can type it into Google and buy one.” To counter the threat, some venues have introduced simple tools such as ultraviolet lighting to detect security features that counterfeit cards often lack.

Underage gambling on the rise

A particularly worrying trend is what Rule described as a resurgence of gambling interest among younger patrons driven by social media.

During visits to venues across Australia, particularly in Queensland, operators reported gaming rooms filling with newly-legal 18-year-olds on weekend nights. According to Rule, influencers promoting slot machine play on platforms such as Instagram and TikTok are helping to drive the trend. “These accounts can have hundreds of thousands of followers,” he said. “They’re effectively promoting pokies through social media channels that aren’t really regulated.”

To address underage gambling and compliance risks, Endeavour has been experimenting with emerging technologies including age-estimation systems. The technology uses camera analytics to estimate a patron’s age without storing their image, potentially alerting staff when someone entering a gaming room appears underage. Initial trials in Victoria produced mixed results but showed promise when thresholds were calibrated more precisely.

Facial recognition

Rule also highlighted the growing role of facial recognition technology (FRT) in enforcing self-exclusion programs. Historically, many pubs relied on printed photo books of excluded patrons – sometimes containing dozens of pages – which staff were expected to memorize. “Expecting someone on a busy shift to recognize faces from an 80-page folder is unrealistic,” he said.

endeavour group australia

In venues where FRT has been introduced, alerts can notify staff if a self-excluded individual re-enters the gaming area. Rule recounted one case in which a long-serving staff member successfully intercepted a patron who had previously self-excluded but had changed significantly in appearance over nearly a year. “Without the technology she said she would never have recognized them,” he said. However, he cautioned that privacy concerns remain significant, particularly following regulatory scrutiny of facial recognition deployments in Australian retail environments.

Side bets

Beyond traditional laundering techniques such as bill stuffing, Rule warned of more unusual behavior appearing in gaming rooms. One example involves groups congregating around machines when a player triggers a “gamble feature,” which allows winnings to be multiplied based on a card or color selection.

Members of the group then place side bets among themselves on the outcome, exchanging cash outside the machine rather than through the regulated gaming system. “It raises a lot of questions,” Rule said. “Is it advantage play? Is it cultural behavior? Or is it money laundering? It could be a mix of all three.” Because the transactions occur away from the gaming machine itself, detecting such activity relies heavily on staff observation rather than automated monitoring.

Like many large operators, Endeavour is exploring ways to integrate multiple data sources – from gaming machines and point-of-sale systems to accommodation and restaurant bookings – into unified risk-monitoring platforms. Such systems could allow automated transaction monitoring and behavioral analytics, reducing reliance on frontline staff to detect suspicious activity. However, Rule emphasized that building such infrastructure is expensive and complex. “There’s huge value in bringing that data together,” he said. “But it takes time, effort and a lot of investment to do it properly.”

Frontline risk

Perhaps the most striking part of Rule’s presentation focused on the risks faced by hospitality staff dealing directly with patrons. Unlike online gambling platforms or banking institutions, which can terminate customer relationships remotely, pub employees often interact face-to-face with individuals suspected of wrongdoing. In some cases, incidents can escalate into violence.

Rule showed examples from venues including an altercation that resulted in a stabbing and another involving a patron displaying a firearm. “These are extreme examples,” he said. “But they highlight the reality that our teams operate in.” He stressed that operators must ensure staff are never placed in situations where they feel compelled to confront potentially dangerous individuals.

Ultimately, he argued, regulators and policymakers must consider how compliance expectations intersect with the realities of running community venues. “How do we protect vulnerable people using our machines while also protecting the young staff working in our venues?” Rule said. “That’s the challenge we need to solve together.”

Daily Asia Gaming eBrief: Chinese consumer sentiment still “very low”

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Good morning. Live a little. Macau operators will be encouraging Chinese clients to do just that this year, as Chinese consumer sentiment remains “very low”, according to a top asset manager. High savings and a booming stock market mean cash is available, if it can just be tapped. Also in Macau, the satellite casino shutdown has eviscerated Success Universe’s Ponte 16 operation, with the group expecting a FY25 loss of $52 million. Also in the SAR, operators’ non-gaming investments are under the gaming watchdog’s microscope, aiming to support the city’s diversification. Meanwhile, MGM Resorts is trying to figure out what to do with its remaining Macau non-gaming investment commitments, as its CEO reveals it’s a “dog fight” for market share, even as it doubles down on premium play.

What you need to know

On the radar


AGB Intelligence

Macau Satellite Casinos shut down, SJM Resorts, SJM Holdings, gambling advertising

Room for growth as Chinese consumer sentiment “very low”

Macau benefited highly from improved Chinese consumer sentiment last year and in the first quarter of this year, but there could still be more room for growth as it remains “very low”. High levels of savings and controlled, stable growth of the stock market mean that untapped wealth is still on the table, with improvements to Chinese consumer sentiment partially reliant on government stimulus, notes a top asset manager.

Industry Updates


INTELLIGENCEASEAN | CAREERS | EVENTS

MGM Resorts CEO: “I’m betting my career” on Japan

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MGM Resorts is expecting MGM Osaka “to be the largest and most successful integrated resort globally since Marina Bay Sands”.

That’s according to statements by Jonathan Halkyard, CFO of MGM Resorts, in the JP Morgan Forum: Strategic Growth and Innovation.

The executive highlighted that equity investment allocated for MGM Osaka this year is “probably $450 million” and that the company is “happy to put capital there”.

The group’s CEO Bill Hornbuckle noted that the group’s Japan venture is going to be “exceptional, world-class” and that “I’m betting my career on it, literally”.

Looking at Singapore’s current results, the executive noted that “if we start with a $2 billion cash flow business, we’re going to net about $800 million out of this, given our stake and given our share. It’s a meaningful business”.

The executive furthered that “it could potentially be bigger than that, but time will tell”, citing the success of the pachinko business which “to this day in Japan is over $30 billion”. The location is also highly promising, given that “we are an hour and a half closer from Shanghai and Beijing than Macau,” highlighted Hornbuckle.

The $12 billion MGM Osaka, developed in partnership with Japan’s ORIX Corporation, is on track to open in the third quarter of 2030, with anticipation it can attract around 20 million visitors annually.

MGM Resorts CEO: “it’s a dog fight” for market share in Macau, pushing hard into premium

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MGM Resorts’ CEO says that the extremely competitive market in Macau means that “it’s a dog fight” for market share.

Despite the intense competition, the company’s CEO Bill Hornbuckle noted that “the luck gods were with us” in 2025 and in the first quarter, however expectations are not as high for the rest of this year.

“The expectations we’ve set for the market for the year particularly are on track, and then some,” noted the executive.

This is boosted by assets “put in play mid-season last year”, set to benefit the company for the full year in 2026, including the Alpha Club in Macau, 124 new “workhorse suites in Cotai”- set to debut “next month” and converted suites across three floors.

“Premium […] has really made a difference. We’re pushing hard into that. We’ve enjoyed a 15 percent or so [market] share, and I think over time we’ll continue to do that. I don’t think the market changes much in that context,” noted Hornbuckle.

Bill Hornbuckle, MGM Resorts, CEO, President
Bill Hornbuckle, CEO, MGM Resorts

The executive noted that the conversion of former VIP spaces is dependent on a focus on VIP or premium mass, noting that “of our 10 biggest customers there, six or seven of them are considered in premium mass, the other three or four are VIP […] the way they want to deal and play the game […] I don’t see that changing greatly”.

Looking ahead, Hornbuckle indicates that “Macau is on a pretty steady path now for the next year or two in the context of the shape of the market, the scale of the market, and how it’s being catered to and addressed”.

The CEO furthered that how it’s doing its casino marketing for Macau is unlikely to change but expressed interest to see how its non-gaming asset investment “gets manifested over the next couple of years”.

Hornbuckle furthered that, of its total non-gaming commitment under its 10-year gaming concession, “we’re about 35 percent into that spend”.

The CEO also noted that “how we then spend the next money, particularly given our scale and scope and footprint, is a bit more challenged. We’re gonna have a lot of conversations around that with the government of how to make it more effective and efficient”.

The comments come even as Macau’s gaming regulator indicated that it would be speaking with operators to adjust the scope of their non-gaming investments, aiming to better align them with the city’s economic diversification goals.

While Hornbuckle notes that Macau’s market “was at $45 billion” at one point and “had aspirations to be in the 60s”, it currently sits “in the low 30s”.

“I think there’s more controlled, rational market growth because the government […] will be very focused on that”. However, Hornbuckle indicated that “I still see growth in that market”.

MGM Resorts: non-gaming investment in Dubai a “platform for a casino someday”

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MGM Resorts CEO Bill Hornbuckle says that its luxury non-gaming beachfront resort in Dubai is “a platform for a casino someday”.

In statements at the JP Morgan Forum: Strategic Growth and Innovation, Hornbuckle noted that noted that, for the time being “we’re comfortable just having a management agreement to manage something we think is a real brand extender for now, and we’ll see”.

The executive noted that the development, with a price tag of “over $2 billion” is “not our project”, being developed on behalf of Dubai’s Wasl Hospitality.

The group had highlighted in February that construction on the property remains on schedule, with expected completion in the third quarter of 2028. The Bellagio, Aria and MGM Grand Hotel towers were initially scheduled to open in early 2027, but the opening was pushed back to 2H28.

Hornbuckle indicated in the forum that “the owner of the property is ultimately the ruler’s company”, noting that “the ruler there will have the jurisdiction of if and when” a casino could complement the non-gaming amenities.

Wynn Resorts’ Wynn Al Marjan Island integrated resort is going to be the first property with a casino in the UAE, slated to open in 2027. Analysts expect the UAE to allow one casino license per emirate in the future, with MGM strongly positioned to open a casino on the property if approved.

AGEM announces new board of directors, expanded membership

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The Association of Gaming Equipment Manufacturers has elected a new Board of Directors and approved membership applications of three new companies, at its 2026 Annual Meeting.

According to a release, four directors have been approved for one-year terms on the board:

  • Elaine Hodgson – President/CEO of Incredible Technologies
  • Lauralyn Sandoval – VP of Gaming Strategy & Business Development, Aristocrat Gaming
  • Phil O’Shaughnessy – VP Global Communications, Gov’t Relations & Sustainability, IGT
  • Steve DiMasi – SVP Global Gov’t Affairs & Business Development, Light & Wonder

The group also approved Randy Gilbert – CEO of TableTrac – as the board’s new Secretary and Thomas Jingoli – President and COO of Konami Gaming – as its Treasurer.

In other additions, Cassie Stratford – SVP Legal Operations & Compliance, Boyd Gaming and Global Gaming Women Advisory Board Member – was approved as an ex-oficio/non-voting member of the board. Bob Parente – VP & Chief Business Development Officer at Light & Wonder – was also approved as an ex-oficio member and Assistant Treasurer.

The group notes that the non-voting roles ‘are established both to further expand the perspectives and voices within AGEM from the global gaming community and maintain dialogue on long-term AGEM strategic initiatives’.

AGEM Board Chair Ryan Cornstock – Acting CEO at Ainsworth Game Technology – was not up for election given the two-year nature of his term as Chair.

The meeting also saw the AGEM’s membership expanded, with approval of three companies: US Bank; Sun-Fly USA, Inc; and Adiostics, Inc – joining as Associate Members.

This follows recent additions of new members Walker Digital Table Systems as a Silver member, CBRE as an Associate and CasinoReviews.net as an Associate – approved in late 2025.