The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised its forecast for Macau’s economic growth to 3 percent in 2026, marking an upward revision of 0.2 percentage points from its previous estimate, according to its latest World Economic Outlook released in April.
The updated projection points to a steady recovery in the city’s economy. The IMF also expects consumer prices in Macau to increase by 1.8 percent in 2026, suggesting a relatively moderate inflation environment.
According to the report, Macau’s nominal GDP is projected to reach $54.23 billion in 2026, while GDP per capita is expected to stand at $76,450. On a purchasing power parity basis, GDP per capita is forecast at $140,420.
The improved outlook for Macau comes as the IMF adopts a more cautious stance globally, cutting its 2026 world growth forecast to 3.1 percent amid concerns that conflict in the Middle East could disrupt energy markets and push up prices.
The fund said rising geopolitical risks have made projections more uncertain, with potential spillovers from higher oil and commodity prices. While Macau’s recovery remains on track, external factors may continue to influence the pace of growth.
