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Macau’s growth backed by Chinese government, defying fears of policy tightening: GS

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The further relaxation of travel policies for mainland Chinese visiting Macau signals the ‘Chinese government’s ongoing support for Macau’s economic and non-gaming development’, alongside closer integration with the rest of the Greater Bay Area, highlights Goldman Sachs.

This stance is ‘contrary to some investors’ worries about further tightening of travel or capital flow policies following the appointment of Macau’s new Chief Executive’, the brokerage noted in its latest investment memo dated December 2nd.

Goldman Sachs emphasizes that the government’s policies continue to support Macau’s non-gaming development, a key pillar of the city’s diversification strategy.

As Macau seeks to establish itself as a hub for tourism, business, and leisure beyond gaming, the relaxation of travel policies is expected to drive further growth in these sectors, enhancing the city’s appeal to both visitors and investors.

This policy shift follows a series of earlier measures aimed at improving access to Macau. These include the addition of 10 new cities to the Individual Visit Scheme (IVS) and an increase in the duty-free shopping allowance from RMB5,000 ($690) to RMB12,000 ($1,650).

The latest changes, set to take effect on January 1st, 2025, will allow mainland Chinese residents with household registrations in Zhuhai to apply for a ‘one-trip-per-week’ visa. This enables them to visit Macau for up to seven days per trip, compared to the previous restriction of one trip every three months.

Additionally, residents holding household registrations or residence permits for Hengqin Island will qualify for multiple-entry visas, allowing unrestricted trips to Macau. However, each stay will still be capped at seven days.

AGB has learned that some border control measures, namely the policy to avoid gaming addiction, will be implemented internally by the Immigration Administration. This means there may still be limits on the number of visits for residents of Zhuhai and Hengqin traveling to Macau. However, normal leisure visits will not be affected.

Goldman Sachs also notes that reports suggest the ‘one-trip-per-week’ visa for Zhuhai residents could later be extended to other cities within the Greater Bay Area, further enhancing connectivity across the region.

Hengqin non-gaming Great bay Macau

Hengqin’s growing role

An important factor in this strategy is the role of Hengqin Island, increasingly recognized by Chinese authorities as a vital component of Macau’s future development. As Macau faces constraints in hotel capacity that could limit the growth of its tourism industry, Hengqin offers an opportunity to alleviate some of these pressures.

Goldman Sachs highlights Hengqin’s potential as a key growth area for both tourism and business development, with the island’s proximity to Macau providing significant synergies. 

In a separate note, Bank of America cites Billy Song, President of the Macau Responsible Gaming Association (MGRA), as emphasizing the importance of improving the business environment for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and enhancing living standards for residents under Macau’s new Chief Executive Sam Hou Fai

Billy Song, Macau junkets: 75 percent still inactive under new operation model
Billy Song, president of the Macau Responsible Gaming Association

Song also predicts that the administration will focus on initiatives to strengthen Macau’s integration with Hengqin, aiming to boost visitor numbers to the neighboring region.

According to Song, gaming operators are likely to face increased expectations from the Macau government. Specifically, the government may urge them to:

  • Increase investment in Hengqin to support regional development
  • Participate more actively in community activities rather than merely acting as financial investors
  • Strengthen partnerships with SMEs to foster economic collaboration

Song expects that further clarity on the administration’s policies will be provided in March, when the new Chief Executive is scheduled to deliver his first annual Policy Address.

Bank of America notes Song’s observations on the limited effectiveness of gaming operators’ non-gaming investments in driving Macau’s economic diversification. While high-profile events like concerts and sports tournaments have clear benefits, other initiatives—particularly in sectors like science, healthcare, and urban revitalization—have seen less tangible impacts.

Song suggests that the government could improve transparency in evaluating non-gaming contributions. Clearer criteria could help operators align their investments with government priorities and provide the public with a better understanding of their progress in meeting diversification commitments.

Following meetings with gaming operators, Bank of America also observes differing opinions on how Macau can better leverage Hengqin to provide lower-cost hotel accommodations.

Pragmatic Play elevates the festive spirit with Gates of Olympus Xmas 1000

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Pragmatic Play’s iconic game character Zeus oversees the 6×5 grid in this festive twist on the popular slots series – and with his red robes and Santa’s hat, he is certainly dressed for the occasion. 

Random multipliers ranging from 2x to 1,000x can land on any spin in the base game, adding together at the end of each tumbling sequence and applying to the total win.  

Four or more scatters trigger the bonus game with 15 free spins. Multipliers that hit during the feature add to a total multiplier, which boosts the current and subsequent wins featuring multiplier symbols. Landing three scatters in the bonus game awards five additional free spins. 

Gates of Olympus Xmas 1000 is the latest slot to join Pragmatic Play’s popular Greek Gods series, following recent hits Wisdom of Athena 1000 and Bow of Artemis

Irina Cornides, Chief Operating Officer at Pragmatic Play, said: “Gates of Olympus Xmas 1000 brings a festive twist to one of Pragmatic Play’s most popular games of all time, combining a seasonal theme with proven mechanics to deliver wins of up to 15,000x.” 

Relax Gaming launches on Ivy Casino with Relax Vantage integration

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Relax Gaming, an iGaming aggregator and supplier of unique content has agreed on a deal that sees the studio’s games available to play at Ivy Casino.

This partnership sees Ivy Casino become the first to utilize Relax Gaming’s innovative technology platform, Relax Vantage®, allowing them to integrate brand-new content swiftly and securely into their lobby.

Relax makes its debut on Ivy Casino with a whole host of games, including proprietary content such as Money TrainTemple Tumble and Epic Joker, and top releases from Silver Bullet and Powered by Relax aggregation partners.

Since its launch in September 2024, Ivy Casino has quickly established itself as a standout brand in the UK online casino market. Designed to offer a refined and elegant gaming experience, Ivy Casino is powered by a state-of-the-art technology stack, ensuring exceptional performance, scalability and reliability for its rapidly growing base of players.

This partnership further strengthens Relax Gaming’s foothold as a leading provider in the UK, having been offering its much-loved online slot content in the region since gaining a casino license in 2014.

Martin Stålros, CEO at Relax Gaming, said: “Ivy Casino has enjoyed great success since its launch earlier this year and we are absolutely delighted to have played a part in that. We hope that players enjoy the content we’ve proudly been able to put their way!”

Mark Good, representing Ivy Casino, said: “Ivy Casino is thrilled to partner with Relax Gaming and add their exceptional portfolio of games. Relax Gaming’s innovative titles and diverse range of content perfectly align with our mission to offer players a premium and engaging gaming experience. We’re confident this partnership will be a key driver in attracting and retaining players as Ivy Casino continues to grow in the competitive UK market.”

Prudent outlook on Macau’s December GGR amid visit of top Chinese officials

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Citigroup has issued a conservative forecast for Macau’s December 2024 gross gaming revenue (GGR), projecting a flat year-on-year performance at MOP18.5 billion ($2.3 billion). 

This forecast, which represents around 81 percent of December 2019 levels, reflects an anticipated slowdown in gaming volumes during President Xi Jinping’s visit to Macau for the celebration of the 25th Anniversary of Macau’s Handover to China on December 20th, along with other Mainland Chinese government officials.

Macau November GGR 2024

Analysts George Choi and Timothy Chau expect that the visit, coupled with public holidays, will lead to a temporary dip in gaming activity as the focus shifts to state-led celebrations. While the holiday season typically brings an increase in tourist arrivals, this year’s high-profile political event is expected to cause a brief disruption in Macau’s usual gaming momentum.

This projection contrasts with that of Macau’s Chief Executive, Ho Iat Seng, who has a more optimistic view of the territory’s overall performance. In his recent policy address, Ho stated that tourist arrivals to Macau could reach 34 million in 2024, marking a significant milestone. He also expressed confidence that Macau’s GGR for 2024 could reach MOP228 billion ($28.35 billion), which implies a potential 5 percent year-on-year increase for December, bringing the GGR to MOP19.4 billion ($2.41 billion).

Macau Visitor Arrivals October 2024 YoY
Visitor Arrivals 2024 YoY

On a separate note, Seaport adopts a more optimistic tone, forecasting a 5.2 percent year-on-year increase in December 2024 GGR, with a 5.9 percent month-on-month rise. However, the month is still expected to be weaker than usual due to Xi Jinping’s visit, which is likely to temporarily reduce gaming activity during that week.

For the fourth quarter, Seaport projects total GGR to reach MOP58.76 billion ($7.35 billion), reflecting an 8.6 percent year-on-year increase and a 5.7 percent quarter-on-quarter rise in MOP terms. While this growth is more modest compared to the 13.9 percent year-on-year increase seen in 3Q24, Seaport remains confident in the continued growth of the gaming industry throughout the next year.

Macau tourism, golden week, October golden week

November GGR

November 2024 GGR came in at MOP18.44 billion ($2.31 billion), marking a 15 percent year-on-year increase and reaching 81 percent of November 2019 levels. This exceeded both Citigroup’s estimate of MOP18 billion ($2.24 billion) and the consensus estimate of MOP18.1 billion ($2.25 billion).

Macau-November-GGR-2024,-Macau-November-GGR

Citigroup notes that the November performance was bolstered by an improved daily run rate, especially in the last two weeks of the month. The final 13 days of November saw a daily GGR run rate of approximately MOP641 million ($79.7 million), about 2 percent higher than the previous week’s run rate of MOP629 million ($78.2 million).

This suggests that, despite some global economic headwinds, Macau’s gaming sector is demonstrating resilience and continues to attract both visitors and players.

Daily Asia Gaming eBrief: Macau could see a 4% rise in GGR in 2025

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Good morning. With a little help from my friends. Macau’s gaming industry could see a gross gaming revenue (GGR) increase of 4% year-on-year, reaching $29.3 billion, according to CLSA. This jump would harness potential consumer-focused fiscal stimulus advanced by China’s central government. Meanwhile, Curacao’s gaming regulator has issued a statement addressing recent corruption allegations surrounding the island’s gaming licensing system and operator BC.GAME. Returning to Macau, the city’s top court has issued a decisive ruling maintaining the 13-year prison sentence handed to Levo Chan, the former junket Tak Chun Group CEO.

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Macau, cotai-strip, Gaming revenue, Macau GGR, gaming operators

Macau’s GGR is expected to reach $29.3 billion amid strategic shifts

Macau’s gaming industry is projected to achieve “very modest growth” in 2025, with an anticipated gross gaming revenue (GGR) increase of 4% year-on-year, reaching $29.3 billion, according to CLSA. The report highlights the importance of expanding market share amid subdued growth conditions, alongside strong visitor forecasts of 36.4 million for the year. Ongoing measures by China to stabilize the property market will significantly influence Macau’s GGR, with potential consumer-focused fiscal stimulus expected to boost growth.


Corporate Spotlight

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Star Entertainment officially appoints Steve McCann as the new CEO

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The Star Entertainment Group has announced the official appointment of Steve McCann as the Group’s Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director, following the receipt of all necessary regulatory approvals.

Star Entertainment
Steve McCann, CEO, The Star Entertainment

McCann will officially join The Star Board and commence his role on December 2nd, 2024, with Neale O’Connell, who has been serving as the Acting Group Chief Executive Officer, will step down from this interim position effective December 1st, 2024.

However, O’Connell will remain with the company as the Interim Group Chief Financial Officer until a permanent appointment is made, subject to regulatory approvals.

The Australian gaming operator has recently acknowledged that liquidity and financial viability remain the most pressing concerns for management amid ongoing regulatory challenges.

Studio City unveils first Winter-Fun Wonderland for the holiday season

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Studio City, a flagship property of Melco Resorts & Entertainment, has announced the launch of its enchanting Winter-Fun Wonderland, running from 30 of November until January 5, 2025, promising endless fun for everyone.

Studio City unveils first Winter-Fun Wonderland

The property transformed into a fairytale holiday destination surrounded by twinkling snowflakes and charming ice and snow scenery, Studio City’s first enchanting snowy Christmas offers a one-of-a-kind ice-fun Christmas experience and a happy winter holiday with family and friends.

An Opening Ceremony was held on Saturday (30 of November) and attended by media and officiating guests including:

Studio City unveils first Winter-Fun Wonderland
  • Ms. Helena de Senna Fernandes, Director of Macao Government Tourism Office (MGTO) of the Macao SAR Government;
  • Mr. Antonio Leung, Head of Economic Activities Development Department, Division of Macao Government Economic and Technological Development Bureau of the Macao SAR Government;
  • Ms. Akiko Takahashi, Executive Vice President and Chief of Staff to Chairman and CEO;
  • Mr. Kevin Benning, Senior Vice President and Property General Manager of Studio City; 
  • Ms. Helen Wu, Senior Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer – Macau Resorts.

Winter-Fun Wonderland offers a wide range of festive delights, from a Dreamland Ice Park fits for guests of all ages, an 8-meter Christmas tree only available for limited-time for the festive celebration to a Snowflake Bridge where delicate real snow fall, bringing to life the magic of the season.

Visitors may also enjoy exploring Studio City’s illuminated Winter Market with all the Christmas vibes you could ask for, and various giant 3D installations including a 5-meter Penguin Snow Mountain and 2.5-meter gingerbread man—perfect winter photo spots that capture the spirit of the holidays.

Studio City unveils first Winter-Fun Wonderland

The festive campaign also aims to support Macau SAR government in promoting economic diversification as well as supporting small and medium enterprises (SMEs) and NGOs by offering the local vendors with rent-free stalls to showcase their products and services. The Christmas Market features over 40 local SME businesses displaying their unique holiday crafts, gift ideas, and seasonal food and beverages. This marketplace does not only support small businesses but also allows guests to experience Macau’s vibrant local culture.

Winter-Fun Wonderland is open between November 30, 2024, and January 5, 2025, from 1pm to 9pm.  Join us at Studio City to celebrate the start of a season filled with joy and holiday spirit.

Limited-time Festive Promotions

This is the season for winter shopping and fantastic rewards! Spend MOP1,000 or more (in a maximum of two same-day transactions) to enjoy these exciting rewards:

  • A movie voucher to Studio City Cinema;
  • Admission ticket redemption voucher at Legend Heroes Park;
  • Buy 1, get 1 free on tickets to Studio City Water Park*;
    • Promotion Dates: November 30, 2024, to January 5, 2025;
    • Redemption Hours: 13:00 – 21:00;
      • Redemption Location: L1, redemption counter (next to Rossi Pizza);
        • *To redeem buy 1, get 1 free ticket to Studio City Water Park, please present valid same-day receipts (a maximum of two) at the Studio City Water Park Box Office;
    • A limited quantity of gifts, available while supplies last.

This winter, make it a magical Christmas by gathering with family and friends at Studio City for a delightful array of festive treats, desserts, and specialty drinks made by our talented chefs.

For a limited time only, special holiday menus are available at Spotlight, Rossi Trattoria, Joyride Diner, Louvre Pastry & Deli, and the Lobby Café at Epic Tower.

  • Promotion Dates: December 1, 2024, to January 1, 2025;
  • Melco Style Members Exclusive: Enjoy 25% off the à la carte menu at selected restaurants on weekdays, with an instant MOP100 discount when you spend MOP600 or more with your Visa credit card;

Savor the rich flavors of the season and discover endless holiday surprises!

*This offer cannot be used on certain days or with packages and is subject to terms and conditions.

Enjoy a free ride on the world’s highest figure-8 Ferris wheel, the Golden Reel, when you wear Christmas-themed or costume!

  • Promotion Date: December 25, 2024;
  • Location: Golden Reel, Level 3, East WingTime: 14:00 – 17:00.

*Only applicable for Standard Cabin

For more information, please visit the official webpage at: https://www.studiocity-macau.com/en/offer/winter-fun-wonderland

PopOK Gaming releases Asian-themed slot gameplay Yo Dragon

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PopOK Gaming, an innovative game developer known for creating engaging, high-quality slots that captivate audiences around the globe, unveiled its latest creation, Yo Dragon – a dynamic slot game that brings the charm and mystique of classic Asian culture to players worldwide.

Set on a vibrant 3-4-3 grid, Yo Dragon combines dazzling visuals, engaging features, and a playful dragon mascot for an unforgettable gaming experience. From traditional Chinese temples to sizzling prize symbols, every spin immerses players in a magical world of fortune and adventure.

At the heart of Yo Dragon are the Prize symbols, each carrying a sizzling payout potential. Land five or more Prize symbols and collect all displayed values across the reels, with each symbol worth up to a fiery 500x your stake! And it doesn’t stop there – this cheeky dragon loves triggering Free Spins, filling the reels with Prize symbols for even greater winning opportunities.

Adding to the excitement, Wild symbols bring a chance to win up to 200x, while the game’s maximum win caps at an incredible 5,000x, promising thrilling payouts for those who dare to play big.

With a balanced 96.68% RTP and medium volatility, Yo Dragon provides the perfect blend of high potential and smooth gameplay, making it an ideal choice for players looking for both fun and big win potential.

Key Features of Yo Dragon

  • 3-4-3 Layout with 10 Lines: Classic setup for engaging gameplay.
  • Prize Symbols Collection: Land 5 or more Prize symbols to collect all displayed values, up to 500x per symbol.
  • Free Spins Bonus: Randomly triggered Free Spins feature only Prize symbols for maximum win potential.
  • Wilds with Big Wins: Land 3 Wilds for up to 200x your stake.
  • Maximum Win of 5,000x: Big payout opportunities for thrill-seekers.
  • RTP of 96.68% and Medium Volatility: A well-balanced game suitable for all types of players.

Yo Dragon is available now on PopOK Gaming’s platform, offering players a unique journey through a world where every spin is a celebration of fortune and excitement.

Macau gaming to see modest growth in 2025, with market share expansion key: CLSA

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Macau’s gaming industry is set to experience a ‘very modest growth’ in 2025, prompting gaming operators to reshape their strategies to adapt to evolving market dynamics, according to a report by CLSA.

The investment bank forecasts the sector’s gross gaming revenue (GGR) to grow by 4 percent year-on-year, reaching $29.3 billion in 2025. It emphasizes that expanding market share will be pivotal in navigating this subdued growth environment.

These modest growth projections are coupled with strong visitor arrival forecasts for 2025, with CLSA predicting that Macau could see 36.4 million visitors next year.

In this landscape, CLSA notes that, in addition to market share competition, China’s ongoing measures to stabilize the property market—including local government debt swaps—will be crucial for Macau’s GGR growth in 2025. Whether this growth will re-accelerate depends on consumer-centric fiscal stimulus, with CLSA analyst Fan Yang expecting more support in 2025. Historically, China’s fiscal easing packages in 4Q08 and 2Q15 led to significant GGR growth in Macau.

After China’s RMB4 trillion package in 2008, Macau’s GGR per day grew by 32 percent, from MOP277 million ($34.6 million) to MOP450 million ($56.3 million) by January 2010, continuing a 33 percent year-on-year rise through January 2011.

In 2015, following further easing measures, GGR per day resumed growth, rising 26 percent year-on-year to MOP666 million ($83.3 million) in June 2017 and increasing another 13 percent year-on-year to MOP750 million ($93.8 million) in June 2018. 

Macau’s GGR per visitor correlates with China’s Consumer Confidence Index, which stood at a 34-year low of 85.7 in September 2024. This trend aligns with Macau’s plateauing GGR in 2024, however the brokerage expects consumer confidence to recover when property prices stabilize in the second half of 2025.

Macau, Casino floor

2024 GGR still resilient

Regarding the current year, analysts Jeffrey Kiang and Leo Pan report that Macau’s gaming revenue has remained resilient, with GGR per visitor staying flat year-on-year at MOP6,544 ($818), despite challenges such as a high base in 1Q23 and the criminalization of illicit money exchange. The highest GGR since 2023 was recorded in October, totaling MOP20.8 billion ($2.6 billion). However, GGR remains 23 percent below 2019 levels, indicating a bottleneck to further growth.

Macau-November-GGR-2024,-Macau-November-GGR

In the investment memo, daily GGR in 2024 ranged from MOP575 million ($71.9 million) to MOP671 million ($83.9 million), recovering to 70-81 percent of pre-COVID levels. This gap is partly attributed to the decline of junkets, but fiscal support from China is expected to help close it. The recovery has been visitation-driven, with GGR per capita stabilizing between MOP5,409 ($676) and MOP7,499 ($937), still below pre-pandemic averages.

Despite limited growth in 2025, CLSA projects an acceleration in GGR growth in 2026, driven by improving consumer sentiment and economic stabilization.

In terms of financial performance, CLSA has slightly revised its GGR forecasts for 2024, 2025, and 2026, adjusting projections up and down by 1 percent. It has also lowered its EBITDA forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 2-4 percent due to rising operating cost assumptions, despite higher non-gaming revenue. Sector EBITDA margins are expected to remain steady at 27-28 percent during this period.

The Venetian Macau, Sands China

Dividend payouts and investor returns

Given the projected modest growth, analysts at CLSA believe that gaming operators will need to increase their dividend payout ratio to reflect current market conditions. ‘A higher dividend payout ratio is justified in 2025, as our forecast dividend payout (from free cash flow) is 36 percent in 25CL (compared to 91 percent from 2016 to 2019),’ the report states.

This marks a significant adjustment from the high payout levels observed in the years leading up to the pandemic, reflecting the changing dynamics of the sector.

Additionally, CLSA notes that despite limited GGR growth, companies like Galaxy, MGM China, Wynn Macau, Melco, and Paradise Entertainment (a satellite casino manager for SJM) have increased dividends or repurchased shares (Melco in particular) in 2024.

This trend signals a more shareholder-friendly approach, as operators prepare for moderate GGR growth ahead. Such actions are expected to positively impact the return on equity ratios of these companies. Year-to-date in 2024, the six Macau gaming concessionaires are on track to return $992 million to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, including the final dividends for 2023, declared in 1Q24.

Kampek Casino-Macau, Paradise Entertainment

Satellite casinos

Another significant development in 2025 will be the evolving role of satellite casinos. According to the latest update, the Macau government has not yet begun discussions with satellite casino operators regarding future developments. Based on the current situation, Macau’s satellite casino operators may need to transition to purely management companies, as they will no longer be allowed to share gaming revenue from 2026.

CLSA notes that while the locations and number of satellite casinos will be under scrutiny, ‘only the remuneration mechanism will change (for casino managers) after December 31st, 2025.’ This change is expected to reshape how casino managers are compensated, impacting the operational structure of these satellite properties, but without altering their overall role in the sector.

It remains unclear how the ‘management fee’ for casino managers will be determined after 2025. However, as a viable solution for both concessionaires and managers, CLSA believes the fee will be based on satellite casinos’ performance in 2025, with certain step-up terms possibly linked to inflation.

PAGCOR’s caravan delivers essential health services to Ilocos Norte

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Held at the Ilocos Norte Centennial Arena from November 29 to 30, over 3,000 residents of Ilocos Norte benefited from vital health services and assistance provided by the Philippine Amusement and Gaming Corporation (PAGCOR) through its Bawat Buhay Mahalaga Serbisyo Caravan.

The two-day event offered free medical consultations and services, medicines as well as food packs and other essential services, and community assistance.

PAGCOR also handed over Php50 million worth of donations to Provincial Governor Matthew Marcos Manotoc. It included bicycles for barangay bike patrols, GoBags equipped with first aid kits, wheelchairs, walking canes, cot beds, reading glasses and assorted medicines.

PAGCOR's 'Bawat Buhay Mahalaga' caravan delivers health services to Ilocos Norte

Additionally, 45 livelihood starter packages were raffled off during the event, and the agency pledged to deliver medical equipment—including 2D echo machines, portable ventilators, and glucose/cholesterol/uric acid monitoring devices—by early next year. 

PAGCOR's 'Bawat Buhay Mahalaga' caravan delivers health services to Ilocos Norte

PAGCOR also announced plans to provide educational grants under its Ayudang Hatid ay Tagumpay Program, with the number of scholars to be finalized in coordination with the provincial government.

“PAGCOR brought the Bawat Buhay Mahalaga Serbisyo Caravan to Ilocos Norte as part of our mission to make essential services accessible to communities across the country,” said Ramon Stephen Villaflor, head of PAGCOR’s Corporate Social Responsibility Group.

“We launched this initiative in Bulacan last year, and now we’ve reached Ilocos Norte. Soon, we will also bring the caravan to the Visayas and Mindanao,” he added.

Governor Manotoc expressed his gratitude to PAGCOR and to President Ferdinand R. Marcos Jr. for the initiative as he cited its impact on the province.

“Allow me to extend my deepest thanks to PAGCOR, Chairman Al Tengco, and, of course, President Bongbong Marcos Jr.,” said Manotoc. “We are truly honored to host the Serbisyo Caravan.

“This is our first PAGCOR event of this scale, and we look forward to a stronger partnership and lasting friendship with the PAGCOR family.”