Professor Dr. Wolfgang George Alrt, founder and director of the China Outbound Tourism Research Institute (COTRI) said he expects Chinese outbound tourism to begun recovering around early-to-mid April, should it follow a similar pattern to that of SARS.
“The Coronavirus is creating severe problems and is actually killing people – but this crisis will be over in a few months and more Chinese tourists than ever before will start to travel around the world again after Easter.”
Chinese outbound travel has understandably reduced dramatically after news of the coronavirus outbreak began surfacing. The country itself has severely reduced travel within its borders, while other nations have imposed measures to curb the spread of the virus into their territories.
However, Alrt is of the opinion that the policy to ban all Chinese nationals from entering a country, or any non-citizen with recent travel to China is a “populist overreaction”.
“Domestic politics seem to have taken precedence again over proportional reactions in many countries around the world,” he said.
Quoted on CNN, Arlt said: “Of course, it’s too early to say how long it will last right now. But if it’s somewhat similar to SARS, then things could go back to normal around early or mid-April. If we look at what happened in 2003, during SARS, actually most of these trips were just postponed. After the SARS crisis ended, the numbers jumped again. Of course, for a few months, it was really rough for smaller companies but, in the long run, it was okay globally.”